Improvement in warming outlook as India and China move ahead, but Paris Agreement gap still looms large

13th November 2017



The Climate Action Tracker has updated its estimates of global progress towards the Paris Agreement goals, with some positive and negative findings:

Significant improvement on climate action globally, despite US rollbacks

CO2 emissions have flattened in the last few years, but it is too soon to call a peaking of global GHG emissions, which needs to happen by around 2020 to meet the Paris Agreement’s warming limits.

Changes in warming projections from previous year

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Due substantially to President Trump’s announced intention to withdraw from the Paris Agreement, there has been a significant deterioration in the effect of Paris Agreement commitments (NDCs)—by about 0.3°C.

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The majority of NDCs are not in line with a fair contribution to meet the Paris Agreement’s long-term warming limit: