China, US, EU post-2020 plans reduce projected warming

1st December 2014


Lima – 8 December 2014--For the first time since 2009 the Climate Action Tracker has calculated a lower projected warming over the 21st century than before - because of the new proposed post-2020 actions from China, the US and the EU. However, this is still not enough to limit warming below 2?C. 

The Climate Action Tracker is an assessment by four research organisations:  Climate Analytics, Ecofys, NewClimate Institute and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, assessing government pledges and actions against what’s needed to limit warming below a 2°C increase above preindustrial levels, and against the goal of bringing warming below 1.5°C by 2100.

If China, the United States and the European Union, who together comprise around 53% of global emissions, fully implement their new, post-2020 plans, they would limit global temperature rise to around 3?C by 2100, between 0.2?C and 0.4?C lower than it would have been prior to their announcements.  These announcements are more ambitious than previous commitments, and represent significant progress, but remain insufficient to limit warming below 2?C. 

Download the full press release below or read the full briefing. You can also watch the webcast of the press conference.