We rate Germany’s national target for 2030 as "Highly insufficient". As part of the EU, Germany did not submit its own NDC to the Paris Agreement. Therefore, we assess the 2030 emissions levels derived from Germany’s national target.
The “Highly insufficient” rating indicates that Germany's climate commitment in 2030 is not consistent with holding warming to below 2°C, let alone limiting it to 1.5°C as required under the Paris Agreement. The emissions levels of Germany’s national target fall just outside the wide range of emissions levels that represent its fair share effort to the Paris Agreement 1.5°C temperature goal. Commitments just outside a country’s fair-share range are rated as highly insufficient.
Substantially deeper reductions by 2030 are needed to move Germany’s national targets towards compatibility with the Paris Agreement 1.5°C temperature goal. Rating individual member states as part of the EU is difficult because of the internal burden sharing system, interlinkage of the actions through the emission trading system and redistribution of financial flows, linked electricity sector. We therefore do not provide a 1.5°C and 2°C temperature levels for EU member states.
Current policy projections
Germany’s CAT rating is based on the emission reduction commitments put forward in its national targets.
If the CAT were to rate Germany’s projected emission levels in 2030, the rating would also be “Highly Insufficient”.
Further information about the risks and impacts associated with the temperature levels of each of the categories.