Switzerland

Critically Insufficient4°C+
World
Commitments with this rating fall well outside the fair share range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government targets were in this range, warming would exceed 4°C.
Highly insufficient< 4°C
World
Commitments with this rating fall outside the fair share range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government targets were in this range, warming would reach between 3°C and 4°C.
Insufficient< 3°C
World
Commitments with this rating are in the least stringent part of their fair share range and not consistent with holding warming below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government targets were in this range, warming would reach over 2°C and up to 3°C.
2°C Compatible< 2°C
World
Commitments with this rating are consistent with the 2009 Copenhagen 2°C goal and therefore fall within the country’s fair share range, but are not fully consistent with the Paris Agreement. If all government targets were in this range, warming could be held below, but not well below, 2°C and still be too high to be consistent with the Paris Agreement 1.5°C limit.
1.5°C Paris Agreement Compatible< 1.5°C
World
This rating indicates that a government’s efforts are in the most stringent part of its fair share range: it is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.
Role model<< 1.5°C
World
This rating indicates that a government’s efforts are more ambitious than what is considered a fair contribution: it is more than consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.

Summary table

Paris Agreement target

The Swiss government ratified the Paris Agreement in 2017. Its NDC commits Switzerland to an emissions reduction of 50% below 1990 levels by 2030. This goal is further specified by a statement that between 2021 and 2030 emissions are to be reduced on average by 35% below 1990 levels. The NDC further specifies that much of the 50% emissions reduction target should be met through cutting domestic emissions, though it did not quantify a specific amount (UNFCCC, 2015).

The reform of the CO2 Act reiterates the 50% emissions reduction goal, and specifies that at least 60% of the emissions reduction should take place domestically. The rest should be covered by carbon credits from abroad that deliver “real, permanent, additional and verified mitigation outcomes” (UNFCCC, 2015).

Some Members of Parliament called for 80% of the emissions reduction goal to be achieved domestic way (Die Bundesversammlung der Schweizerischen Eidgenossenschaft, 2019). This is an improvement compared with the earlier government recommendation that “at least 30%” of emission reductions should be achieved domestically, and the rest through emissions reductions abroad (Bundesamt für Energie, 2016). During the New York Climate Summit in September 2019 Switzerland expressed its intention to enhance its 2020 NDC (Climate Watch Data, 2019).

Switzerland’s emissions reduction goal for 2030 includes a net change in emissions from forest and land-use between 1990 and 2030. The NDC is not clear on emissions from non-forest land use, stating that the emissions “will be included, as necessary” (UNFCCC, 2015). With the exception of 2000, emissions from the LULUCF sector in Switzerland have been negative and amounted to between 1 and 6% of overall emissions (Bundesamt für Umwelt, 2019b).

2020 pledge and Kyoto target

Switzerland agreed to sign up to the Kyoto Protocol for a second commitment period (2013–2020), as proposed at the COP 18 in Doha. Switzerland submitted a QELRO1 level of 84.2, meaning its average yearly emissions for the period 2013–2020 will be 84.2% of 1990 levels.

Switzerland's commitment under the Convention (Copenhagen Pledge) for 2020 is to reduce emissions by between 20% and 30% below 1990 levels. While the 20% reduction commitment is unconditional, the 30% is conditional on a global and comprehensive climate agreement. According to Switzerland’s submission, such an agreement would include other developed countries pledging comparable emissions reductions, and developing countries contributing according to their capabilities. In its 6th National Communication Switzerland restated the 20% reduction commitment, with the possibility that this “could be increased up to 30%”.

1 | The quantified emission limitation and reduction objectives (QELRO), expressed as a percentage in relation to a base year, denotes the average level of emissions that an Annex B Party could emit on an annual basis during a given commitment period

Long-term goal

Switzerland’s NDC contains an indicative long-term goal to reduce emissions 70%–85% below 1990 levels by 2050, including use of international credits. In August 2019, the Vice President of the Swiss Federal Council announced the goal of emissions neutrality for Switzerland by 2050 (Krummenacher, 2019). Further details about the carbon neutrality goal will be provided in the Climate Strategy 2050 that is to be adopted by the end of 2020 (Binswanger, 2019).

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