Publications (EU)

G7+EU INDCs: some improvement, but a large emissions gap remains

The combined climate plans for the G7 and EU have made a small step towards the right track to hold warming to 2?C, but there is still a substantial emissions gap, the Climate Action Tracker said today.Ahead of the upcoming G7 meeting in Germany, the Climate Action Tracker - an read more...

Are governments doing their “fair share”? - New method assesses climate action

Climate Action Tracker assesses government climate proposals on what’s “fair” and holds warming below 2?C.The Climate Action Tracker (CAT) has developed the most comprehensive method yet of simultaneously assessing the “fairness” and “below 2?C compatibility” of government climate action put forward for the Paris Agreement, expected to be adopted in read more...

EU could clarify forestry, land use accounting to strengthen its INDC

The European Union has submitted its “intended nationally determined contribution” (INDC) to a new international agreement on climate change.The EU target is to reduce domestic greenhouse gas emissions by at least 40% below 1990 in 2030. However, it includes forestry accounting, which could effectively weaken the reductions necessary by all read more...

Has the EU Commission weakened its climate proposal? Possibly

The European Commission has made a proposal that specifies its “intended nationally determined contribution” (INDC) to the new international agreement on climate change.The proposal is to reduce domestic greenhouse gas emissions by at least 40% below 1990 in 2030. However, it now also includes forestry accounting, which could effectively weaken read more...

China, US and EU post-2020 plans reduce projected warming

For the first time since 2009 the Climate Action Tracker calculates a discernibly lower temperature increase than previously estimated because of new proposed post-2020 actions.Recent announcements by China, the United States and European Union, who comprise approximately 53% of global emissions, indicate a rising level of ambition, which are reflected read more...

Analysis of current greenhouse gas emission trends

Policy activity has to increase significantly in order to limit global average temperature increase to 2°C above the pre-industrial level. With currently implemented government policies, greenhouse gas emissions are projected to lead to a warming of 3.7°C by the end of this century, about 0.6°C higher than that under the read more...

Warsaw unpacked: A race to the bottom?

Weak government action on climate change will lead to a projected 3.7degC of warming by 2100, around 0.6degC higher than the original promises they made in Copenhagen, the Climate Action Tracker (CAT) said today.The annual assessment by the CAT, a project of research organisations: Climate Analytics, Ecofys and the Potsdam read more...

"Climate shuffle" likely to lead to increased warming

National action on climate change mitigation appears to be joining the international climate negotiations in the new and ever popular “climate shuffle” dance. It involves maximum effort and motion while staying in the same spot…or even, in some cases, going backwards.Recent emissions trends and estimates of the effects of those read more...

2° be or not 2° be

Limiting global warming below 2degC – or even to below 1.5DegC remains technically and economically feasible, but only with political ambition backed by rapid action starting now, the Climate Action Tracker said today.

Governments set world on more than 3°C warming, still playing with numbers

Governments are still set to send global temperatures above 3°C by 2100, even though their agreed warming limit of 2°C is still technically possible, scientists said today. In this update we discuss the 2°C and 1.5°C limits, the future of the Kyoto Protocol and recent clarifications of Parties’ conditionality to read more...

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