Improvement in warming outlook as India and China move ahead, but Paris Agreement gap still looms large

13th November 2017

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Summary

The Climate Action Tracker has updated its estimates of global progress towards the Paris Agreement goals, with some positive and negative findings:

Significant improvement on climate action globally, despite US rollbacks

CO2 emissions have flattened in the last few years, but it is too soon to call a peaking of global GHG emissions, which needs to happen by around 2020 to meet the Paris Agreement’s warming limits.

Changes in warming projections from previous year

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Due substantially to President Trump’s announced intention to withdraw from the Paris Agreement, there has been a significant deterioration in the effect of Paris Agreement commitments (NDCs)—by about 0.3°C.

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The majority of NDCs are not in line with a fair contribution to meet the Paris Agreement’s long-term warming limit: