Assumptions on carbon dioxide removals
Emission scenarios compatible with the 1.5°C Paris Agreement temperature limit are clear: in addition to achieving deep cuts in emissions across all sectors of the global economy, global emissions need to become net negative as soon as possible. This mandates the accelerated scale-up of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) globally.
Detailed information on governments’ plans to rely on CDR remains scarce. Among the 34 countries assessed by the Climate Action Tracker that have pledged net zero, only 13 countries provide more detailed information on LULUCF sinks and/or engineered CDR and storage in their net zero target year.
The following table provides an overview of our transparency assessments on plans to use carbon dioxide removals across the 34 countries assessed by the Climate Action Tracker that have pledged net zero.
Assumptions on carbon dioxide removals underpinning 34 national net-zero targets as of December 2023
Country |
Headline evaluation |
Transparency on carbon dioxide removal in respective net-zero target year |
Assumptions for ‘optimistic scenario’ |
---|---|---|---|
Argentina | Poor |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Conservative global estimate |
Australia | Poor |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
Bhutan | Information incomplete | No information provided | Conservative global estimate |
Brazil | Information incomplete | No information provided | Simplified estimate |
Canada | Average |
Transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
Chile | Acceptable |
Transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
China | Poor |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Third-party estimate |
Colombia | Acceptable |
Transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF or separately for domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
Costa Rica | Acceptable |
Transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
Ethiopia | Information incomplete | No information provided | Conservative global estimate |
European Union | Acceptable |
Transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
The Gambia | Poor |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Conservative global estimate |
Germany | Average |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
India | Poor |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Simplified estimate |
Indonesia | Information incomplete | No information provided | Government estimate |
Japan | Poor |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Simplified estimate |
Kazakhstan | Poor |
Transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF or separately for domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
Morocco | Information incomplete | No information provided | Conservative global estimate |
Nepal | Average |
Transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF or separately for domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
New Zealand | Poor |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Simplified estimate |
Nigeria | Average |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Simplified estimate |
Peru | Information incomplete | No information provided | Conservative global estimate |
South Korea | Average |
Transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
Russia | Poor |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Simplified estimate |
Saudi Arabia | Poor |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Simplified estimate |
Singapore | Poor |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Simplified estimate |
South Africa | Information incomplete | No information provided | Simplified estimate |
Switzerland | Average |
Transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF or separately for domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
Thailand | Average |
Transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
Türkiye | Poor |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Simplified estimate |
The United Arab Emirates | Poor |
Non-transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage |
Simplified estimate |
United Kingdom | Acceptable |
Transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
United States of America | Average |
Transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
Viet Nam | Average |
Transparent assumptions for domestic LULUCF or separately for domestic removals and storage |
Government estimate |
Stay informed
Subscribe to our newsletter