Assumptions on carbon dioxide removals

Emission scenarios compatible with the 1.5°C Paris Agreement temperature limit are clear: in addition to achieving deep cuts in emissions across all sectors of the global economy, global emissions need to become net negative as soon as possible. This mandates the accelerated scale-up of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) globally.

Detailed information on governments’ plans to rely on CDR remains scarce. Among the 34 countries assessed by the Climate Action Tracker that have pledged net zero, only 13 countries provide more detailed information on LULUCF sinks and/or engineered CDR and storage in their net zero target year.

The following table provides an overview of our transparency assessments on plans to use carbon dioxide removals across the 34 countries assessed by the Climate Action Tracker that have pledged net zero.

Assumptions on carbon dioxide removals underpinning 34 national net-zero targets as of December 2023

Country Headline
evaluation
Transparency
on carbon dioxide removal in respective net-zero target year
Assumptions
for ‘optimistic scenario’
Argentina Poor Non-transparent assumptions
for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Conservative global estimate
Australia Poor Non-transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Government estimate
Bhutan Information incomplete No information provided Conservative global estimate
Brazil Information incomplete No information provided Simplified estimate
Canada Average Transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and
storage
Government estimate
Chile Acceptable Transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and
storage
Government estimate
China Poor Non-transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Third-party estimate
Colombia Acceptable Transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF or separately for domestic removals and
storage
Government estimate
Costa Rica Acceptable Transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and
storage
Government estimate
Ethiopia Information incomplete No information provided Conservative global estimate
European Union Acceptable Transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and
storage
Government estimate
The Gambia Poor Non-transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Conservative global estimate
Germany Average Non-transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Government estimate
India Poor Non-transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Simplified estimate
Indonesia Information incomplete No information provided Government estimate
Japan Poor Non-transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Simplified estimate
Kazakhstan Poor Transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF or separately for domestic removals and
storage
Government estimate
Morocco Information incomplete No information provided Conservative global estimate
Nepal Average Transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF or separately for domestic removals and
storage
Government estimate
New Zealand Poor Non-transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Simplified estimate
Nigeria Average Non-transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Simplified estimate
Peru Information incomplete No information provided Conservative global estimate
South Korea Average Transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and
storage
Government estimate
Russia Poor Non-transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Simplified estimate
Saudi Arabia Poor Non-transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Simplified estimate
Singapore Poor Non-transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Simplified estimate
South Africa Information incomplete No information provided Simplified estimate
Switzerland Average Transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF or separately for domestic removals and
storage
Government estimate
Thailand Average Transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and
storage
Government estimate
Türkiye Poor Non-transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Simplified estimate
The United Arab Emirates Poor Non-transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and domestic removals and storage
Simplified estimate
United Kingdom Acceptable Transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and
storage
Government estimate
United States of America Average Transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF and separately for domestic removals and
storage
Government estimate
Viet Nam Average Transparent
assumptions for domestic LULUCF or separately for domestic removals and
storage
Government estimate

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