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We rate Norway’s currently implemented policies “Highly insufficient” - emissions are projected to decrease by only 7% in 2030—a far cry from its 2030 NDC target of “at least 40%” below 1990 levels. Norway’s currently implemented policies are not consistent with the Paris Agreement, and are instead consistent with warming between 3°C and 4°C if all others followed a similar level of ambition.
On the positive side, Norway’s climate law, which aims to achieve “carbon neutrality” by 2050, has been complemented by an increased budget allocation to the Ministry of Climate and Environment of NOK 10.5 billion (USD 1.22 billion), up by NOK 0.7 billion (USD 81 million) since 2017. Norway continues with world record share in electric cars; by end of 2018 every second new car sold in Norway is electric.
Norway signed and ratified the Paris Agreement in 2016. Norway’s Paris Agreement Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) includes a target of reducing GHG emissions by “at least 40%” below 1990 levels in 2030, thus aligning itself with the European Union’s target.
We rate Norway’s unconditional NDC “Insufficient,” and hence not consistent with limiting warming below 2°C, let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit, unless other countries make much deeper reductions and comparably greater effort. If unconditional, we would rate the climate neutrality goal by 2030 “2° Paris compatible.”