Brazil

Choose update to view

Critically Insufficient4°C+ World

NDCs with this rating fall well outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would exceed 4°C.

Highly insufficient< 4°C World

NDCs with this rating fall outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach between 3°C and 4°C.

Insufficient< 3°C World

NDCs with this rating are in the least stringent part of a country’s “fair share” range and not consistent with holding warming below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach over 2°C and up to 3°C.

2°C Compatible< 2°C World

NDCs with this rating are consistent with the 2009 Copenhagen 2°C goal and therefore fall within a country’s “fair share” range, but are not fully consistent with the Paris Agreement long term temperature goal. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming could be held below, but not well below, 2°C and still be too high to be consistent with the Paris Agreement 1.5°C limit.

1.5°C Paris Agreement Compatible< 1.5°C World

This rating indicates that a government’s NDCs in the most stringent part of its “fair share” range: it is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.

Role model<< 1.5°C World

This rating indicates that a government’s NDC is more ambitious than what is considered a “fair” contribution: it is more than consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.

List of references

Câmara dos Deputados. (2018). Governistas esperam efeito positivo de MP das petrolíferas; oposição aponta prejuízos. Retrieved February 20, 2018, from http://www2.camara.leg.br/camaranoticias/noticias/POLITICA/550342-GOVERNISTAS-ESPERAM-EFEITO-POSITIVO-DE-MP-DAS-PETROLIFERAS-OPOSICAO-APONTA-PREJUIZOS.html
Climate Action Tracker. (2016). The ten most important short-term steps to limit warming to 1.5°C. Climate Action Tracker (Climate Analytics, Ecofys, NewClimate Institute). Retrieved from http://climateactiontracker.org/assets/publications/publications/CAT_10_Steps_for_1o5.pdf
Climate Home. (2017a). Brazil halves environment budget amid rising Amazon deforestation | Climate Home - climate change news. Retrieved April 21, 2017, from http://www.climatechangenews.com/2017/04/03/brazil-halves-environment-budget-amid-rising-amazon-deforestation/
Câmara dos Deputados. (2018). Governistas esperam efeito positivo de MP das petrolíferas; oposição aponta prejuízos. Retrieved February 20, 2018, from http://www2.camara.leg.br/camaranoticias/noticias/POLITICA/550342-GOVERNISTAS-ESPERAM-EFEITO-POSITIVO-DE-MP-DAS-PETROLIFERAS-OPOSICAO-APONTA-PREJUIZOS.html
Climate Action Tracker. (2016). The ten most important short-term steps to limit warming to 1.5°C. Climate Action Tracker (Climate Analytics, Ecofys, NewClimate Institute). Retrieved from http://climateactiontracker.org/assets/publications/publications/CAT_10_Steps_for_1o5.pdf
Climate Home. (2017a). Brazil halves environment budget amid rising Amazon deforestation | Climate Home - climate change news. Retrieved April 21, 2017, from http://www.climatechangenews.com/2017/04/03/brazil-halves-environment-budget-amid-rising-amazon-deforestation/
Climate Home. (2017b, July 17). Brazil’s Temer extends amnesty to Amazon land-grabbers | Climate Home - climate change news. Retrieved from http://www.climatechangenews.com/2017/07/17/brazils-temer-extends-amnesty-amazon-land-grabbers/
Estado de São Paulo. (2017). Corte no orçamento do Inpe ameaça satélites e monitoramento da Amazônia – PROCLIMA – Programa Estadual de Mudanças Climáticas do Estado de São Paulo. Retrieved February 20, 2018, from http://cetesb.sp.gov.br/proclima/2017/11/25/corte-no-orcamento-do-inpe-ameaca-satelites-e-monitoramento-da-amazonia/
Government of Brazil. (2015). Federative Republic of Brazil Intended Nationally Determined Contribution.
IEA. (2015). World Energy Outlook 2015.
IEA. (2016). World Energy Outlook 2016. Paris, France: International Energy Agency. http://doi.org/10.1787/weo-2016-en
International Energy Agency (IEA). (2017). WEO-2017 Special Report: Energy Access Outlook. Retrieved from http://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/WEO2017SpecialReport_EnergyAccessOutlook.pdf
IPAM. (2017). P ANORAMA SOBRE O D ESMATAMENTO NA A MAZÔNIA EM 2016.
Messias, J. (2017, January 11). Desmatamento na Floresta Amazônica cresceu 30% em 2016. Jornal Hoje. Retrieved April 3, 2017, from http://g1.globo.com/jornal-hoje/noticia/2017/01/desmatamento-na-floresta-amazonica-cresceu-30-em-2016.html
Ministério da Ciência Tecnologia Inovações e Comunicações Brasil. (2017). Contribuição do MCTIC para a elaboração da estratégia de implementação da Contribuição Nacionalmente Determinada do Brasil ao Acordo de Paris (Vol. 5).
Ministerio de Minas e Energia. (2017). Brazilian Energy Balance. Retrieved from http://passthrough.fw-notify.net/download/608179/http://www.epe.gov.br/sites-pt/publicacoes-dados-abertos/publicacoes/PublicacoesArquivos/publicacao-46/topico-82/Relatorio_Final_BEN_2017.pdf
Ministério de Minas e Energia. (2015). Plano Decenal de Expansão de Energia 2024.
Ministry of Science and Technology of Brazil. (2014). Estimativas Anuais de Emissões de Gases de Efeito Estufa no Brasil. Retrieved from http://www.mct.gov.br/upd_blob/0235/235580.pdf
Ministry of Science Technology and Innovation of Brazil. (2016a). Executive Summary - Third National Communication of Brazil to the UNFCCC. Brasilia, Brazil: Ministry of Science Technology and Innovation.
Ministry of Science Technology and Innovation of Brazil. (2016b). Volume III - Third National Communication of Brazil to the UNFCCC (Vol. III). Brasilia, Brazil: Ministry of Science Technology and Innovation.
Observatorio do clima. (2017, October 19). Dez motivos para não se empolgar demais com a queda da taxa de desmatamento - Observatório do Clima. Retrieved from http://www.observatoriodoclima.eco.br/dez-motivos-para-nao-se-empolgar-demais-com-queda-da-taxa-de-desmatamento/
Observatorio do clima. (2018, January 10). Avanço da soja em áreas de desmatamento na Amazônia é o maior em cinco anos - Observatório do Clima. Retrieved from http://www.observatoriodoclima.eco.br/avanco-da-soja-em-areas-de-desmatamento-na-amazonia-e-o-maior-em-cinco-anos/
Observatorio do Clima. (2016a). ANÁLISE DAS EMISSÕES DE GEE BRASIL (1970-2014) E SUAS IMPLICAÇÕES PARA POLÍTICAS PÚBLICAS E A CONTRIBUIÇÃO BRASILEIRA PARA O ACORDO DE PARIS OBSERVATÓRIO DO CLIMA.
Observatorio do Clima. (2016b). Desmatamento sobe 29%, o maior em 8 anos. Retrieved April 26, 2017, from http://www.observatoriodoclima.eco.br/desmatamento-sobe-29-o-maior-em-8-anos/
Observatório do Clima. (2017a). Desmate no cerrado anula ganhos na Amazônia. Retrieved April 3, 2017, from http://www.observatoriodoclima.eco.br/en/desmate-no-cerrado-anula-ganhos-na-amazonia/
Observatório do Clima. (2017b). SEEG - System Gas Emissions Estimation. Retrieved April 3, 2017, from http://plataforma.seeg.eco.br/
Presidência da República. (2010). Decreto no 7.390 de 9 de dezembro de 2010, https://www2.camara.leg.br/legin/fed/decret/2010/decreto-7390-9-dezembro-2010-609643-publicacaooriginal-130958-pe.html
PRODES. (2017). Taxas anuais de desmatamento na Amazônia Legal Brasileira (AMZ). Retrieved April 26, 2018, from http://www.obt.inpe.br/prodes/dashboard/prodes-rates.html
REDD and Policy Assessment Centre. (2015). Modelling land use changes in Brazil 2000-2050.
Reuters. (2016). Brazil cancels licensing round for wind, solar power projects | Energy & Oil | Reuters. Retrieved April 3, 2017, from http://af.reuters.com/article/energyOilNews/idAFL5N1E95LM
Senado Federal. (2016). Senado aprova MP que altera regras do setor elétrico — Senado Federal - Portal de Notícias. Retrieved February 14, 2017, from http://www12.senado.leg.br/noticias/materias/2016/10/19/senado-aprova-mp-que-altera-regras-do-setor-eletrico
US Energy Information Administration. (2016). Hydroelectric plants account for more than 70% of Brazil’s electric generation - Today in Energy - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). Retrieved April 21, 2017, from https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=27472
US EPA. (2012). Global Anthropogenic Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Emissions: 1990 - 2030. Retrieved from http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/Downloads/EPAactivities/EPA_Global_NonCO2_Projections_Dec2012.pdf
World Resources Institute. (2017, July). Will Brazil Meet Its Climate Targets? | World Resources Institute. Retrieved from http://www.wri.org/blog/2017/07/will-brazil-meet-its-climate-targets