The Gambia

Critically Insufficient4°C+ World

NDCs with this rating fall well outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would exceed 4°C.

Highly insufficient< 4°C World

NDCs with this rating fall outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach between 3°C and 4°C.

Insufficient< 3°C World

NDCs with this rating are in the least stringent part of a country’s “fair share” range and not consistent with holding warming below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach over 2°C and up to 3°C.

2°C Compatible< 2°C World

NDCs with this rating are consistent with the 2009 Copenhagen 2°C goal and therefore fall within a country’s “fair share” range, but are not fully consistent with the Paris Agreement long term temperature goal. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming could be held below, but not well below, 2°C and still be too high to be consistent with the Paris Agreement 1.5°C limit.

1.5°C Paris Agreement Compatible< 1.5°C World

This rating indicates that a government’s NDCs in the most stringent part of its “fair share” range: it is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.

Role model<< 1.5°C World

This rating indicates that a government’s NDC is more ambitious than what is considered a “fair” contribution: it is more than consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.

We rate The Gambia’s NDC “1.5°C Paris Agreement compatible” based on its unconditional NDC target for 2025. The “1.5°C Paris Agreement compatible” rating indicates that The Gambia’s climate commitment in 2025 is consistent with holding warming well below 2oC, and limiting warming to 1.5°C. The Gambia’s commitment does not require other countries to make comparably deeper reductions or greater effort, and is in the most stringent part of its Fair Share range. If the CAT were to rate the NDC based on The Gambia’s indicated 2030 emission reduction targets, the NDC would also be rated “1.5°C Paris Agreement compatible”.

If the CAT were to rate the Gambia’s projected emissions levels up to 2025 under current policies, the Gambia would also be rated “1.5°C Paris Agreement compatible”.

For further information about the risks and impacts associated with the temperature levels of each of the categories click here.

A calculation error in fair share ranges update for The Gambia in September 2017 has been corrected in October 2017. This correction in calculations led to a change in the Gambia’s NDC rating for from “2°C compatible” to “1.5°C Paris Agreement compatible” even as the absolute values of the NDC emission targets in 2025 have not changed.