Targets
Target Overview
India officially submitted two of the four targets for 2030 announced by Prime Minister Modi in 2021 (at COP26) as part of its August 2022 NDC update. These two targets are to reduce its emissions intensity by 45% below 2005 levels by 2030 (excluding LULUCF) and to increase the share of non-fossil power capacity to 50% by 2030.
On paper, both are stronger targets than the original NDC submissions, which had a 33-35% emissions intensity target and 40% non-fossil power capacity, but neither will drive real world emission reductions. The other two targets, which were not submitted, were a 500GW non-fossil capacity target and a commitment to reduce emissions by one billion tonnes by 2030 – are also unlikely to drive real world emission reductions in any substantial way.
The target of creating a cumulative 2.5-3 GtCO2 carbon sink by 2030 is unchanged and was included in both the first and the updated NDC.
INDIA - Main climate targets |
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2030 unconditional NDC target | |||
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Formulation of target in NDC | Emissions intensity of 45% below 2005 levels by 2030 | ||
Absolute emissions level in 2030 excl. LULUCF |
4.6 GtCO2e [103% above 2010] |
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Status | Submitted on 26 August 2022 |
2030 conditional NDC target | |||
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Formulation of target in NDC | 50% cumulative electric power installed capacity from non-fossil fuel-based energy resources by 2030 | ||
Absolute emissions level in 2030 excl. LULUCF |
4.2-4.5 GtCO2e [85-98% above 2010] |
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Status | Submitted on 26 August 2022 |
Net zero & other long-term targets | |||
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Formulation of target | India has pledged to become net zero by 2070 | ||
Absolute emissions level in 2050 excl. LULUCF | N/A* | ||
Status | Long Term Low Emissions Development Strategy (LT-LEDS) submitted in November 2022 |
* For details on what we do for our Optimistic Target global temperature estimate for India, please see the Assumptions tab.
CAT rating of targets
NDC updates
Net zero and other long-term target(s)
Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced a 2070 net zero target at COP26 in 2021. India submitted its Long-term Strategy for Low Carbon Development (LT-LEDS) at COP27 in 2022 (Government of India, 2022a; Ministry of External Affairs, 2021).
See the net zero tab here for further information.
2020 pledge
Further analysis
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