India

Overall rating
Highly insufficient

Policies and action
against fair share

Insufficient
< 3°C World

Conditional NDC target
against modelled domestic pathways

Highly insufficient
< 4°C World

Unconditional NDC target
against fair share

Insufficient
< 3°C World
Climate finance
Not applicable
Net zero target

year

2070

Comprehensiveness rated as

Poor
Land use & forestry
Not significant

Target Overview

India officially submitted two of the four targets for 2030 announced by Prime Minister Modi in 2021 (at COP26) as part of its August 2022 NDC update. These two targets are to reduce its emissions intensity by 45% below 2005 levels by 2030 (excluding LULUCF) and to increase the share of non-fossil power capacity to 50% by 2030.

On paper, both are stronger targets than the original NDC submissions, which had a 33-35% emissions intensity target and 40% non-fossil power capacity, but neither will drive real world emission reductions. The other two targets, which were not submitted, were a 500GW non-fossil capacity target and a commitment to reduce emissions by one billion tonnes by 2030 – are also unlikely to drive real world emission reductions in any substantial way.

The target of creating a cumulative 2.5-3 GtCO2 carbon sink by 2030 is unchanged and was included in both the first and the updated NDC.

INDIA - Main climate targets
2030 unconditional NDC target
Formulation of target in NDC Emissions intensity of 45% below 2005 levels by 2030
Absolute emissions level in 2030 excl. LULUCF 4.6 GtCO2e
[103% above 2010]
Status Submitted on 26 August 2022
2030 conditional NDC target
Formulation of target in NDC 50% cumulative electric power installed capacity from non-fossil fuel-based energy resources by 2030
Absolute emissions level in 2030 excl. LULUCF 4.2-4.5 GtCO2e
[85-98% above 2010]
Status Submitted on 26 August 2022
Net zero & other long-term targets
Formulation of target India has pledged to become net zero by 2070
Absolute emissions level in 2050 excl. LULUCF N/A*
Status Long Term Low Emissions Development Strategy (LT-LEDS) submitted in November 2022

* For details on what we do for our Optimistic Target global temperature estimate for India, please see the Assumptions tab.

Net zero and other long-term target(s)

Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced a 2070 net zero target at COP26 in 2021. India submitted its Long-term Strategy for Low Carbon Development (LT-LEDS) at COP27 in 2022 (Government of India, 2022a; Ministry of External Affairs, 2021).

See the net zero tab here for further information.

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