Nepal

Previous assessments of the Climate Action Tracker used the global warming potentials (GWPs) from the IPCC’s Second Assessment Report (SAR). For this assessment we have updated all figures and time series to GWPs from the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4).

The historical dataset is based on Nepal’s Second National Communication (Government of Nepal, 2014). The 1994 and 2000 LULUCF value is taken from the GHG emissions profiles for Non-Annex I countries (UNFCCC, 2018).

The current policy scenario is based on projections from Nepal’s Second National Communication for energy, industry, agriculture and waste sectors (Government of Nepal, 2014). The National Communication sketches five scenarios (BAU, Medium growth, High growth, Medium growth with mitigation and High growth with mitigation) of which two (BAU and Medium growth) have been used to form a range. The High growth scenario was disregarded since it assumes a GDP growth rate of 10% per annum which is not in line with IMF projections of Nepal’s GDP (International Monetary Fund, 2018), and seems unrealistic given an average GDP growth rate of ~4% in the last 10 years (2006–2015). The National Communication’s BAU scenario assumes 4.63% GDP growth per year, the medium growth scenario 5% per year.