Critically Insufficient4°C+
World
NDCs with this rating fall well outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would exceed 4°C.
Highly insufficient< 4°C
World
NDCs with this rating fall outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach between 3°C and 4°C.
Insufficient< 3°C
World
NDCs with this rating are in the least stringent part of a country’s “fair share” range and not consistent with holding warming below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach over 2°C and up to 3°C.
2°C Compatible< 2°C
World
NDCs with this rating are consistent with the 2009 Copenhagen 2°C goal and therefore fall within a country’s “fair share” range, but are not fully consistent with the Paris Agreement long term temperature goal. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming could be held below, but not well below, 2°C and still be too high to be consistent with the Paris Agreement 1.5°C limit.
1.5°C Paris Agreement Compatible< 1.5°C
World
This rating indicates that a government’s NDCs in the most stringent part of its “fair share” range: it is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.
Role model<< 1.5°C
World
This rating indicates that a government’s NDC is more ambitious than what is considered a “fair” contribution: it is more than consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.
Sources
List of references
- BP. (2014). BP Statistical Review of World Energy. Retrieved from http://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/pdf/energy-economics/statistical-review-2015/bp-statistical-review-of-world-energy-2015-full-report.pdf
- Climate Home News. (2019). Russia floats first law to regulate CO2 emissions. Retrieved from https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/03/22/russia-floats-first-law-regulate-carbon-emissions/
- CNBC. (2017). Climate change doubters may not be so silly, says Russia President Putin. Retrieved April 5, 2017, from 2017-03-30 website: http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/30/vladimir-putin-russia-trump-us-climate-policy.html
- Government of the Russian Federation. Order of the Russian Government № 2344. Nov 3 2016. , (2016).
- IEA. (2014). World Energy Statistics and Balances 2014. Paris, France: International Energy Agency.
- IEA. (2017). World Energy Outlook 2017. Retrieved from International Energy Agency website: https://www.iea.org/weo2017/
- IFC Advisory Services. (2013). Russia Renewable Energy Program Russia’s New Capacity-based Renewable Energy Support Scheme. Retrieved from www.ifc.org/eca
- IRENA. (2017). REMAP 2030 RENEWABLE ENERGY PROSPECTS FOR THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION. Retrieved from http://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/IRENA_REmap_Russia_paper_2017.pdf
- Kokorin, A., & Korppoo, A. (2017). Russia’s Ostrich Approach to Climate Change and the Paris Agreement. Retrieved from https://www.ceps.eu/system/files/PI 2017-40 Russian Climate Policy Kokorin Korppoo_0.pdf
- Kommersant. (2019). RSPP got a climate system: The White House is preparing industrialists for economic measures to reduce emissions [РСПП получил климатическую установку: Белый дом готовит промышленникам экономические меры для снижения выбросов]. Retrieved from https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3915489?from=four_economic&fbclid=IwAR1IRsEKvjfKZI6kHnrHnUgJZQsVMNSs02qtwLOY64ZjzxJ5oWeR3xuV374
- Korppoo, A., & Kokorin, A. (2015). Russia’s 2020 GHG emissions target: Emission trends and implementation. Climate Policy, 3062(July). https://doi.org/10.1080/14693062.2015.1075373
- Ministry of Economic Development. (2019). Federal draft law “On state regulation of greenhouse gas emissions and on amendments to certain legislative acts of the Russian Federation” [Проект Федерального закона "О государственном регулировании выбросов парниковых газов и о внесении изменений в отд. Retrieved from http://base.garant.ru/56777252/#friends
- Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources. (2017). THE THIRD BIENNIAL REPORT OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION. 1–38.
- Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources. (2018). О предложениях в национальнь1й проект «Экология».
- Ministry of Natural Resources and Ecology of the Russian Federation. (2015). Second Biennial Report Russian Federation. (December).
- Ministry of Natural Resources and Ecology of the Russian Federation. (2017). STATE REPORT - On the status and protection Environment Russian Federation in 2017.
- NOAA. (2011). Global gas flaring estimates. Retrieved November 12, 2015, from http://ngdc.noaa.gov/eog/interest/gas_flares.html
- Rosleskhoz. (2013). State Programme of the Russian Federation “Development of forestry development” for the years 2013-2020 [Государственная программа Российской Федерации “Развитие лесного хозяйства” на 2013–2020 годы]. Retrieved from http://gov.garant.ru/SESSION/PILOT/main.htm
- Russian Federation. Deree No. 449. , (2013).
- Russian Federation. Resolution No.861. , (2013).
- Russian Federation. Decree No. 504-p. , (2014).
- Russian Federation. (2014b). Sixth National Communication of the Russian Federation. Retrieved from http://unfccc.int/files/national_reports/annex_i_natcom/submitted_natcom/application/pdf/6nc_rus_final.pdf
- Russian Federation. (2018). UNFCCC GHG Inventory Submissions: Common reporting format. Retrieved from https://unfccc.int/documents/65700
- Russian Federation Government. Pledge of the Russian Federation to the Copenhagen Accord. , (2010).
- UNFCCC. (2015). Intended Nationally Determined Contribution_Unofficial translation.
- UNFCCC. (2016). National inventory submissions 2016. Retrieved April 26, 2017, from http://unfccc.int/national_reports/annex_i_ghg_inventories/national_inventories_submissions/items/9492.php
- US EPA. (2012). Global Anthropogenic Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Emissions: 1990 - 2030. Retrieved from http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/Downloads/EPAactivities/EPA_Global_NonCO2_Projections_Dec2012.pdf
- Yale Center for Environmental Law. (2011). Climate Policy & Emissions Data Sheet: Russia. Retrieved from http://climateobserver.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Yale.pdf
Further analysis
Latest publications
Stay informed
Subscribe to our newsletter