Policies & action
NOTE: This update does not conduct a new rating of the UK’s climate targets, as the new government only entered power in July 2024. Instead, it describes the context inherited by the new government and highlights key areas for improvement. We will respond to any major announcements and provide an updated rating for the UK in 2025.
We rate the UK’s current policies until 2030 as “Insufficient”, when compared to modelled domestic pathways. The new government needs to take rapid action to develop and implement climate policies to reduce emissions. Our 1.5°C modelled domestic pathway is based on global least-cost mitigation and defines the minimum level of emissions reductions needed at home to be 1.5°C compatible. It should be taken as the floor, and not ceiling, for domestic ambition.
The UK’s stalled progress in climate policy development over recent years means that, without immediate and rapid change, the UK can no longer be considered a leader in global climate action. The “Insufficient” rating indicates that the UK’s climate policies and action in 2030 need substantial improvements to be consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C. If all countries were to follow the UK’s approach, warming would reach over 2°C and up to 3°C. The new government has strongly indicated that it intends to address this policy shortfall, introducing new funding and delivery mechanisms to close the gap. The CAT will be tracking these policy developments and provide an updated assessment of the progress made in 2025.
Further information on how the CAT rates countries (against modelled domestic pathways and fair share) can be found here.
Policy overview
Power sector
Industry
Transport
Buildings
Agriculture
The UK has one of the lowest levels of forest cover in Europe, at 13% (Forest Research, 2023). The UK has set a target of planting 30,000 ha/yr of new woodland by 2025, which is aligned with the CCC’s recommendations. However, planting rates in 2023 were under half of this level (Forest Research, 2023).
It is essential that the new government takes action to accelerate tree planting. This will require new delivery mechanisms, complete with the required rates of funding. In particular, there is a need to provide clear long-term funding, and to streamline processes in order to draw in private capital.
Progress in protecting and restoring degraded peatland is also significantly off track. The Climate Change Committee recommends that over 60,000 ha/yr of peatland is restored from 2025 onwards. But in 2022/23, only 13,000 ha were restored – less than a fifth of recommended levels (CCC, 2023a). Key policy gaps include restrictions on the burning of peatland, as much peatland remains unprotected by current legislation, and a faster phase-out for peat in horticultural products, as the sale of peat will currently only be fully banned by 2030 (The Wildlife Trusts, 2023).
Methane
Further analysis
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