Chile

Chile submitted its 2035 NDC to the UNFCCC on September 23, 2025. Once we have reviewed the target, we will post our full analysis here. In the meantime, you can find our fast response below.

Chile's new 2035 climate target is not 1.5˚C aligned according to its fair share, and the gap between its target and 1.5˚C pathways has grown. However, its new climate pledge does contain some positive elements: Chile maintains its commitment to peak emissions by 2025, it sets out absolute sectoral emissions budgets and mitigation to meet the NDC, and re-commits to a coal phase-out by 2040.

The Chilean government has committed to an absolute net emissions reduction target of 90 MtCO₂e by 2035 (equivalent to a 22% reduction below 2022 levels) and a total emissions budget of 480 MtCO₂e for the 2031–2035 period. This falls short of what is needed for alignment with its fair share consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C. Chile’s 2030 NDC included a conditional component under which it could exceed its absolute emission target, potentially achieving up to a 45% reduction in net emissions by 2030. Its 2035 NDC does not include a conditional target.

While Chile has submitted a stronger target for 2035 compared to 2030, the gap between those targets and a 1.5°C aligned pathway compared to its fair share, has actually grown – from 10 MtCO₂e in 2030 to 22 MtCO₂e in 2035 – signalling a weakening, not strengthening, of ambition. Chile needs to strengthen its climate commitment for both 2030 and 2035 to ensure they are aligned with a 1.5°C compatible pathway.

In its newly submitted NDC of 2025, Chile again introduces absolute and emissions budget targets, and in this NDC it further translates them into sectoral emissions budgets and mitigation plans. This creates a clear link between the targets announced and national-level action (as recommended in our guide for new NDCs).