Critically Insufficient4°C+
World
NDCs with this rating fall well outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would exceed 4°C.
Highly insufficient< 4°C
World
NDCs with this rating fall outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach between 3°C and 4°C.
Insufficient< 3°C
World
NDCs with this rating are in the least stringent part of a country’s “fair share” range and not consistent with holding warming below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach over 2°C and up to 3°C.
2°C Compatible< 2°C
World
NDCs with this rating are consistent with the 2009 Copenhagen 2°C goal and therefore fall within a country’s “fair share” range, but are not fully consistent with the Paris Agreement long term temperature goal. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming could be held below, but not well below, 2°C and still be too high to be consistent with the Paris Agreement 1.5°C limit.
1.5°C Paris Agreement Compatible< 1.5°C
World
This rating indicates that a government’s NDCs in the most stringent part of its “fair share” range: it is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.
Role model<< 1.5°C
World
This rating indicates that a government’s NDC is more ambitious than what is considered a “fair” contribution: it is more than consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.
Sources
List of references
- ACCIONA (2017) ACCIONA builds the first renewable project in Mexico following electric power auctions. Available at: https://www.acciona.com/news/acciona-builds-first-renewable-project-mexico-following-electric-power-auctions/ (Accessed: 27 February 2018).
- Bond, T. C. et al. (2013) ‘Bounding the role of black carbon in the climate system: A scientific assessment’, Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 118(11), pp. 5380–5552. doi: 10.1002/jgrd.50171.
- Camara de diputados del H. congreso de la union (2015) Ley de Transición Energética, Diario Oficial de la Federacion. Available at: dof.gob.mx/nota_detalle.php?codigo=5421295&fecha=26/12/2015%5Cnhttp://www.diputados.gob.mx/LeyesBiblio/pdf/LTE.pdf.
- Centro Nacional de Control de Energía (2017) Anuncian SENER y CENACE resultados preliminares de la Tercera Subasta de Largo Plazo | Centro Nacional de Control de Energía | Gobierno | gob.mx, Comunicado. Available at: https://www.gob.mx/cenace/prensa/anuncian-sener-y-cenace-resultados-preliminares-de-la-tercera-subasta-de-largo-plazo-141668 (Accessed: 2 March 2018).
- Comisión Intersecretarial de Cambio Climático (2012) Mexico’s 5th National Communication.
- Federal Government of Mexico (2013) National Climate change Strategy: 10-20-40 Vision.
- Government of Mexico (2014) Programa Especial de Cambio Climatico 2014 - 2018 (PECC). Mexico DF, Mexico.
- Government of Mexico (2015) Compromisos de Mitigación y Adaptación Ante el Cambio Climático para el Periodo 2020-2030. Available at: https://www.gob.mx/cms/uploads/attachment/file/39248/2015_indc_esp.pdf.
- Government of Mexico (2015) ‘First Biennial Update Report to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change’, (December). Available at: https://unfccc.int/files/national_reports/non-annex_i_parties/ica/technical_support_for_the_ica_process/application/pdf/executive_summary.pdf.
- Government of Mexico (2015) Intended Nationally Determined Contribution.
- Government of Mexico (2016) Mexico’s Climate Change Mid-Century Strategy. Available at: https://unfccc.int/files/focus/long-term_strategies/application/pdf/mexico_mcs_final_cop22nov16_red.pdf.
- Kuramochi, T. et al. (2017) ‘Ten key short-term sectoral benchmarks to limit warming to 1.5°C’, Climate Policy, pp. 1–19. doi: 10.1080/14693062.2017.1397495.
- El Norte (2017) ‘Avanzan proyectos de subastas eléctricas’, El Norte, 27 June. Available at: http://www.elnorte.com/aplicacioneslibre/articulo/default.aspx?id=1148415&md5=947cacb7b77eb081b9f30da51ce42fb6&ta=0dfdbac11765226904c16cb9ad1b2efe (accessed 11.09.17).
- Santiago, J. and Rodríguez, S. (2017) ‘En segunda mitad del 2018 se formalizará mercado de bonos de carbono’, El Economista, 5 June. Available at: http://eleconomista.com.mx/mercados-estadisticas/2017/06/05/se-formalizara-mercado-bonos-carbono.
- Secretaria de Energia (2014a) Ley de la industria eléctrica. Mexico City; Mexico. Available at: http://www.dof.gob.mx/nota_detalle.php?codigo=5355986&fecha=11/08/2014.
- Secretaria de Energia (2014b) LINEAMIENTOS que establecen los criterios para el otorgamiento de Certificados de Energías Limpias y los requisitos para su adquisición. Mexico. Available at: http://dof.gob.mx/nota_detalle.php?codigo=5366674&fecha=31/10/2014.
- Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales (2017) Acciones de México para establecer un mercado de carbono | Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales | Gobierno | gob.mx. Available at: https://www.gob.mx/semarnat/articulos/acciones-de-mexico-para-establecer-un-mercado-de-carbono?idiom=es (Accessed: 6 March 2018).
- SEMARNAT (2014) Carbon tax in Mexico. Available at: https://www.thepmr.org/system/files/documents/Carbon Tax in Mexico.pdf.
- SENER (2015a) ACUERDO por el que se emite el Manual de Subastas de Largo Plazo. Mexico. Available at: www.cenace.gob.mx/Docs/MercadoOperacion/Subastas/01 Manual de Subastas de Largo Plazo DOF 2015 11 19.pdf.
- SENER (2015b) Prospectiva del Sector Eléctrico 2015 - 2029. Mexico City; Mexico. Available at: www.energia.gob.mx.
- SENER (2016) ‘Prospectiva del Sector Eléctrico 2016-2030’. Available at: https://www.gob.mx/cms/uploads/attachment/file/177626/Prospectiva_del_Sector_El_ctrico_2016-2030.pdf.
- SENER (2017a) Arranca operaciones en el Mercado Eléctrico Mayorista el proyecto ganador de la primera Subasta de Largo Plazo | Secretaría de Energía | Gobierno | gob.mx, Boletín de prensa 125. Available at: https://www.gob.mx/sener/prensa/arranca-operaciones-en-el-mercado-electrico-mayorista-el-proyecto-ganador-de-la-primera-subasta-de-largo-plazo.
- SENER (2017b) Prospectiva del Sector Eléctrico 2017-2031. Mexico City. Available at: https://www.gob.mx/cms/uploads/attachment/file/284345/Prospectiva_del_Sector_El_ctrico_2017.pdf.
- Valencia Juliao, H. (2017) ‘Perspectivas de la energía nuclear en México’, Agencia Informativa Conacyt, 26 April. Available at: http://conacytprensa.mx/index.php/tecnologia/energia/13946-energia-nuclear-en-mexico.
Further analysis
Latest publications
Stay informed
Subscribe to our newsletter