Ukraine

Critically Insufficient4°C+ World

NDCs with this rating fall well outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would exceed 4°C. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with warming of greater than 4°C if all other sectors were to follow the same approach.

Highly insufficient< 4°C World

NDCs with this rating fall outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach between 3°C and 4°C. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with warming between 3°C and 4°C if all other sectors were to follow the same approach.

Insufficient< 3°C World

NDCs with this rating are in the least stringent part of a country’s “fair share” range and not consistent with holding warming below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach over 2°C and up to 3°C. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with warming over 2°C and up to 3°C if all other sectors were to follow the same approach.

2°C Compatible< 2°C World

NDCs with this rating are consistent with the 2009 Copenhagen 2°C goal and therefore fall within a country’s “fair share” range, but are not fully consistent with the Paris Agreement long term temperature goal. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming could be held below, but not well below, 2°C and still be too high to be consistent with the Paris Agreement 1.5°C limit. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with holding warming below, but not well below, 2°C if all other sectors were to follow the same approach.

1.5°C Paris Agreement Compatible< 1.5°C World

This rating indicates that a government’s NDCs in the most stringent part of its “fair share” range: it is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.

Role model<< 1.5°C World

This rating indicates that a government’s NDC is more ambitious than what is considered a “fair” contribution: it is more than consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit. No “role model” rating has been developed for the sectors.

1.5°C Compatible< 1.5°C World

List of references

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Dentons. (2015). Milestone Law amending Feed-In Tariff in Ukraine. Retrieved from https://www.dentons.com/en/insights/alerts/2015/june/9/milestone-law-amending-feed-in-tariff-in-ukraine
Government of Ukraine. (2010). Ukraine’s pledge to the Copenhagen Accord, Compiled in: Compilation of economy-wide emission reduction targets to be implemented by Parties included in Annex I to the Convention. Retrieved from http://unfccc.int/files/meetings/cop_15/copenhagen_accord/application/pdf/ukrainecphaccord_app1.pdf
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Government of Ukraine. (2017a). Government approved Energy Strategy of Ukraine until 2035. Retrieved from https://www.kmu.gov.ua/en/news/250210653
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Mykhailenko, O., Nitsovych, R., Unterschütz, S., Meißner, F., Spiekermann, E., Stiewe, C., & Zachmann, G. (2019). Quarterly Monitoring Report on the Implementation of Ukraine’s Energy Action Plan. Low Carbon Ukraine. Retrieved from https://lowcarbonukraine.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/2019-01-25_MR2_Jan19.pdf
State Environmental Investment Agency of Ukraine. (2014). Market Readiness Proposal. Retrieved from https://www.thepmr.org/system/files/documents/Final MRP Ukraine_29-08-2014.pdf
Vovchuk, H. (2018). Energy reforms: the challenge for Ukraine’s gas market. Retrieved 20 May 2019, from https://www.euneighbours.eu/en/east/eu-in-action/stories/energy-reforms-challenge-ukraines-gas-market
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