Fair Share
Fair Share
We rate Morocco’s NDC “1.5°C Paris Agreement compatible.” The “1.5°C Paris Agreement compatible” rating indicates that Morocco’s climate commitment in 2030 is consistent with holding warming well below 2°oC, and limiting warming to 1.5°C. Morocco’s commitment does not require other countries to make comparably deeper reductions or greater effort, and is in the most stringent part of its Fair Share range.
Morocco’s contribution is in line with most effort sharing approaches. Some approaches would allow a further increase of absolute emission levels, mostly because Morocco has very low historical and current per capita emissions. Approaches that focus on the Human Development Indicator as an indication of capability would require more stringent reductions.
The CAT ratings are based on climate commitments in (I)NDCs. If the CAT were to rate Moroccos’s projected emissions levels in 2030 under current policies, we would also rate Morocco “1.5°C Paris Agreement compatible”, indicating that its climate commitment in 2030 is consistent with holding warming well below 2°C, and limiting warming to 1.5°C. Morocco’s current policies do not require other countries to make comparably deeper reductions or greater effort, and are in the most stringent part of its Fair Share range.
This approach requires other countries to make deeper reductions and comparably greater effort to limit warming to 1.5°C. If all countries were to follow Morocco’s approach, warming could be held below—but not well below—2°C, and hence would still be too high to be consistent with the Paris Agreement 1.5°C temperature limit. The 2°C compatible category refers to the 2°C goal adopted by the Copenhagen Agreement in 2009, now replaced by the 1.5 ̊C limit in the Paris Agreement, providing a historical reference point and bridge to the Paris Agreement compatible category rating.
Further information about the risks and impacts associated with the temperature levels of each of the categories. For further information about the risks and impacts associated with the temperature levels of each of the categories click here.
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