Critically Insufficient4°C+
World
NDCs with this rating fall well outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would exceed 4°C. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with warming of greater than 4°C if all other sectors were to follow the same approach.
Highly insufficient< 4°C
World
NDCs with this rating fall outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach between 3°C and 4°C. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with warming between 3°C and 4°C if all other sectors were to follow the same approach.
Insufficient< 3°C
World
NDCs with this rating are in the least stringent part of a country’s “fair share” range and not consistent with holding warming below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach over 2°C and up to 3°C. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with warming over 2°C and up to 3°C if all other sectors were to follow the same approach.
2°C Compatible< 2°C
World
NDCs with this rating are consistent with the 2009 Copenhagen 2°C goal and therefore fall within a country’s “fair share” range, but are not fully consistent with the Paris Agreement long term temperature goal. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming could be held below, but not well below, 2°C and still be too high to be consistent with the Paris Agreement 1.5°C limit. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with holding warming below, but not well below, 2°C if all other sectors were to follow the same approach.
1.5°C Paris Agreement Compatible< 1.5°C
World
This rating indicates that a government’s NDCs in the most stringent part of its “fair share” range: it is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.
Role model<< 1.5°C
World
This rating indicates that a government’s NDC is more ambitious than what is considered a “fair” contribution: it is more than consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit. No “role model” rating has been developed for the sectors.
1.5°C Compatible< 1.5°C
World
This rating indicates that a government’s NDCs in the most stringent part of its “fair share” range: it is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.
Sources
List of references
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- BBC News (2019) ‘Amazon fires: Seven countries sign forest protection pact’. Available at: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-49609702.
- CIFOR (2014) The context of REDD+ in Peru. Available at: http://www.cifor.org/publications/pdf_files/OccPapers/OP-106.pdf.
- El Comercio (2017) ‘La generación de electricidad con energías renovables en Perú’. Available at: http://elcomercio.pe/economia/generacion-electricidad-energias-renovables-peru-422813.
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- Government of Peru (2010) Peruvian submission to the UNFCCC under the Copenhagen accord. Available at: http://unfccc.int/files/meetings/cop_15/copenhagen_accord/application/pdf/perucphaccord_app2.pdf.
- Government of Peru (2015a) INFORME FINAL COMISIÓN MULTISECTORIAL. Available at: http://www.minam.gob.pe/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Informe-Técnico-Final-CM-_-R-S-129-2015-PCM_Secretaría-Técnica-18-09-2015-vf.pdf.
- Government of Peru (2015b) Informe Final de la Comisión Multisectorial para la INDC. Available at: http://www.minam.gob.pe/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Informe-Técnico-Final-CM-_-R-S-129-2015-PCM_Secretaría-Técnica-18-09-2015-vf.pdf.
- Government of Peru (2015c) INTENDED NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTION (iNDC) FROM THE REPUBLIC OF PERU. Available at: https://www4.unfccc.int/sites/submissions/INDC/Published%20Documents/Peru/1/iNDC%20Perú%20english.pdf.
- Government of Peru (2018) Grupo de Trabajo Multisectorial de naturaleza temporal encargado de generar información técnica para orientar la implementación de las Contribuciones Nacionalmente Determinadas (GTM-NDC) - Informe Final. Lima, Peru. Available at: https://www.gob.pe/institucion/minam/informes-publicaciones/268719-informe-final-gtm-ndc.
- IEA (2018) World Energy Balances (2018 edition). Paris, France: International Energy Agency.
- Ministerio del Ambiente del Perú (2016) El Perú y el Cambio Climático - Tercera Comunicación Nacional del Perú. Available at: unfccc.int/resource/docs/natc/pernc3.pdf.
- Ministerio del Ambiente del Perú (2018) Ley Marco sobre Cambio Climatico. Lima, Peru: Ministerio del Ambiente del Peru. Available at: https://sinia.minam.gob.pe/documentos/ley-marco-cambio-climatico.
- Phys News (2019) ‘The Amazon hasn’t stopped burning. There were 19,925 fire outbreaks last month, and “more fires” are in the future’. Available at: https://phys.org/news/2019-10-amazon-hasnt-outbreaks-month-future.html.
- SEEG (2019) Sistema de Estimación de Emisiones de Gases de Efecto Invernadero. Available at: http://plataforma.pe.seeg.eco.br/.
- Swenson, J. J. et al. (2011) ‘Gold Mining in the Peruvian Amazon: Global Prices, Deforestation, and Mercury Imports’, PLoS ONE. Edited by G. J.-P. Schumann. Artisan mining and at a large scale in Peru: the case of gold] Lima, Peru: CooperAcción, 6(4), p. e18875. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0018875.
- US EPA (2019) Global Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Emission Projections & Mitigation Potential: 2015-2050. Available at: https://www.epa.gov/global-mitigation-non-co2-greenhouse-gases/global-non-co2-greenhouse-gas-emission-projections.
- World Bank (2015) Forest area (% of land area). Available at: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/AG.LND.FRST.ZS (Accessed: 1 September 2015).
- WWF (2015) Deforestation in Peru | Magazine Articles | WWF. Available at: https://www.worldwildlife.org/magazine/issues/fall-2015/articles/deforestation-in-peru (Accessed: 23 August 2017).
- WWF International (2015) ‘Saving Forests at Risk’, WWF Living Forests Report.
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