Ethiopia

Critically Insufficient4°C+ World

NDCs with this rating fall well outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would exceed 4°C. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with warming of greater than 4°C if all other sectors were to follow the same approach.

Highly insufficient< 4°C World

NDCs with this rating fall outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach between 3°C and 4°C. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with warming between 3°C and 4°C if all other sectors were to follow the same approach.

Insufficient< 3°C World

NDCs with this rating are in the least stringent part of a country’s “fair share” range and not consistent with holding warming below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach over 2°C and up to 3°C. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with warming over 2°C and up to 3°C if all other sectors were to follow the same approach.

2°C Compatible< 2°C World

NDCs with this rating are consistent with the 2009 Copenhagen 2°C goal and therefore fall within a country’s “fair share” range, but are not fully consistent with the Paris Agreement long term temperature goal. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming could be held below, but not well below, 2°C and still be too high to be consistent with the Paris Agreement 1.5°C limit. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with holding warming below, but not well below, 2°C if all other sectors were to follow the same approach.

1.5°C Paris Agreement Compatible< 1.5°C World

This rating indicates that a government’s NDCs in the most stringent part of its “fair share” range: it is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit. For sectors, the rating indicates that the target is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.

Role model<< 1.5°C World

This rating indicates that a government’s NDC is more ambitious than what is considered a “fair” contribution: it is more than consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit. No “role model” rating has been developed for the sectors.

1.5°C Compatible< 1.5°C World

List of references

Chekene Tesfa, B. (2013). Benefit of Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam Project (GERDP) for Sudan and Egypt. Retrieved from http://eprints.hud.ac.uk/id/eprint/19305/1/Belach
Dale Whittington. (2016). Why technical discussions are needed for the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Retrieved February 26, 2018, from https://theconversation.com/why-technical-discussions-are-needed-for-the-grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam-60004
Export.gov. (2017). Ethiopia - Energy.
Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. (2016). Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia: Growth and Transformation Plan II (GTP II), I(May), 236.
Hammond, M. (2013). The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and the Blue Nile: Implications for transboundary water governance. Retrieved from http://www.globalwaterforum.org/2013/01/25/the-‐grand-‐ethiopian-‐renaissance-‐dam-‐and-‐the-‐blue-‐nile-‐implications-‐for-‐
IRENA. (2016). Installed Renewable Energy Capacity. Retrieved December 21, 2016, from http://resourceirena.irena.org/gateway/dashboard/?topic=4&subTopic=16
MEFCC. (2017). Ethiopia Forest Sector Review. Retrieved February 26, 2018, from http://mefcc.gov.et/forest/ethiopia-forest-sector-review/
Ministry of Environment and Forest. (2015). Ethiopia’s Second National Communication to the UNFCCC.
Multi-Sector Investment Plan for Climate Resilient Agriculture and Forest Development. (2017). Retrieved from https://www.climateinvestmentfunds.org/sites/default/files/meeting-documents/ethiopia_msip_for_ppcr_final_main_doc_09_may_2017_last_002.pdf
Reuters. (2015). Egypt, Ethiopia, Sudan sign agreement on Nile dam. Retrieved March 19, 2018, from https://www.reuters.com/article/egypt-ethiopia-dam/update-2-egypt-ethiopia-sudan-sign-agreement-on-nile-dam-idUSL6N0WP1ZA20150323?irpc=932
The Economist. (2016). Ethiopia opens Africa’s tallest and most controversial dam - Hydroelectricity. Retrieved February 26, 2018, from https://www.economist.com/news/21712281-gibe-iii-dam-has-capacity-double-countrys-electricity-output
The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. (2010). Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions of Ethiopia.
The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. (2015). Intended Nationally Determined Contribution ( INDC ) of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia.
The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethopia. (2011). Ethiopia’s Climate-Resilient Green Economy.
Yihdego, Z., Rieu-Clarke, A., & Elisa Cascão, A. E. (2016). How has the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam changes the legal, political, economic and scientific dynamics in the Nile Basin? Water International . https://doi.org/10.1080/02508060.2016.1209008