Chile

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Critically Insufficient4°C+ World

NDCs with this rating fall well outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would exceed 4°C.

Highly insufficient< 4°C World

NDCs with this rating fall outside of a country’s “fair share” range and are not at all consistent with holding warming to below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach between 3°C and 4°C.

Insufficient< 3°C World

NDCs with this rating are in the least stringent part of a country’s “fair share” range and not consistent with holding warming below 2°C let alone with the Paris Agreement’s stronger 1.5°C limit. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming would reach over 2°C and up to 3°C.

2°C Compatible< 2°C World

NDCs with this rating are consistent with the 2009 Copenhagen 2°C goal and therefore fall within a country’s “fair share” range, but are not fully consistent with the Paris Agreement long term temperature goal. If all government NDCs were in this range, warming could be held below, but not well below, 2°C and still be too high to be consistent with the Paris Agreement 1.5°C limit.

1.5°C Paris Agreement Compatible< 1.5°C World

This rating indicates that a government’s NDCs in the most stringent part of its “fair share” range: it is consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.

Role model<< 1.5°C World

This rating indicates that a government’s NDC is more ambitious than what is considered a “fair” contribution: it is more than consistent with the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit.

List of references

Boston Consulting Group, 2013. Inventario de emisiones de GEI 1990-2010, proyección de emisiones a 2040 y matrices de abatimiento de CO2 en Chile, Available at: http://generadoras.cl/wp-content/uploads/Estudio-emisiones-CO2-en-Chile.pdf.
Cantzler, J. et al., 2017. Foot off the gas: increased reliance on natural gas in the power sector risks an emissions lock-in, Climate Action Tracker ( Climate Analytics, Ecofys, NewClimate Institute). Available at: https://newclimateinstitute.files.wordpress.com/2017/06/cat-2017-06-16-decarbonisationseries-naturalgas2.pdf.
Comisión Nacional de Energía, 2017. Generación Bruta ERNC – Energía Abierta | Comisión Nacional de Energía. Energia Abierta. Available at: http://energiaabierta.cl/visualizaciones/generacion-bruta-ernc/# [Accessed February 14, 2018].
Comisión Nacional de Energía & Ministerio de Energía, 2017. Anuario Estadístico de Energía 2016, Available at: http://dataset.cne.cl/Energia_Abierta/Estudios/CNE/AnuarioCNE2016Final_vImprimible.pdf.
Global Coal Plant Tracker, 2018. Coal Plants by Country (MW) - January 2018. July 2017. Available at: https://endcoal.org/global-coal-plant-tracker/.
Government of Chile, 2015. Intended Nationally Determined Contribution towards the Climate Agreement of Paris 2015, Available at: http://portal.mma.gob.cl/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/INDC_1609c1.pdf.
Government of Chile, 2014. MAPS Chile Resultados de Fase 2, Available at: http://portal.mma.gob.cl/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/ResultadosdeFase2_MAPSChile.pdf.
Government of Chile, 2016a. Segundo Informe Bienial de Actualización de Chile sobre Cambio Climático, Available at: http://unfccc.int/files/national_reports/non-annex_i_parties/biennial_update_reports/application/pdf/bur2_chile_spanish_corrected_version.pdf.
Government of Chile, 2016b. Tercera Comunicación Nacional de Chile ante la Convención Marco de las Naciones Unidas sobre Cambio Climático, Available at: http://unfccc.int/files/national_reports/non-annex_i_natcom/application/zip/nc3_chile.zip.
IRENA, 2015. Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2014. Available at: https://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/IRENA_RE_Power_Costs_2014_report.pdf
IRENA, 2018. Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2017, Available at: http://irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2018/Jan/IRENA_2017_Power_Costs_2018.pdf.
Ministerio de Energía, 2015. Energía 2050: Política Energética de Chile, Available at: http://www.minenergia.cl/archivos_bajar/LIBRO-ENERGIA-2050-WEB.pdf.
Ministerio de Energía, 2013. Plan de acción de eficiencia energética 2020, Available at: http://www.amchamchile.cl/UserFiles/Image/Events/octubre/energia/plan-de-accion-de-eficiencia-energetica2020.pdf.
Ministerio de Energía, 2017a. Plan de Mitigación de Gases de Efecto Invernadero para el Sector Energía, Available at: http://www.minenergia.cl/archivos_bajar/2017/03/propuesta_plan_mitigacion_gases_efecto_invernadero.pdf.
Ministerio de Energía, 2017b. Proceso de Planificación Energética de Largo Plazo, Available at: http://pelp.minenergia.cl/informacion-del-proceso/resultados.
NRDC, 2016. Post-HidroAysén, Chile’s rivers remain at risk. Available at: https://www.nrdc.org/experts/amanda-maxwell/post-hidroaysen-chiles-rivers-remain-risk [Accessed August 21, 2017].
Searle, J.P., 2011. Workshop on NAMAs Submitted by Developing Country Parties: Chile’s approach/Progress in Chile, Available at: https://unfccc.int/files/meetings/ad_hoc_working_groups/lca/application/pdf/chile_approach_progress_in_chile.pdf.