Ethiopia

Overall rating
Almost Sufficient

Policies and action
against fair share

1.5°C compatible
< 1.5°C World

Conditional NDC target
against modelled domestic pathways

Critically insufficient
4°C+ World

Unconditional NDC target
against fair share

1.5°C Paris Agreement compatible
< 1.5°C World
Climate finance
Not applicable
Net zero target

year

2050

Comprehensiveness rated as

Average
Land use & forestry
Relevant

List of references

Abdu, S. K. (2024). Egypt, Ethiopia again take dam dispute to UN. https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/egypt-ethiopia-again-take-dam-dispute-to-un/3325788

Abiye, Y. (2021). No Trading, REDD+ fetches over 149 mln birr from carbon. The Reporter Ethiopia. https://www.thereporterethiopia.com/11199/#google_vignette

Africa Energy Portal. (2024). Ethiopia: Bumpy Road As Ethiopia Struggles With Electric Vehicle Revolution. https://africa-energy-portal.org/news/ethiopia-bumpy-road-ethiopia-struggles-electric-vehicle-revolution

Ahmed, B., Haji, J., Ketema, M., & Jemal, K. (2023). Impacts and adaptation extents of climate smart agricultural practices among smallholder farmers of Ethiopia: Implication to food and nutrition security. Cogent Economics & Finance, 11(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2023.2210911

Aljazeera. (2022). Ethiopia starts electricity production at Blue Nile mega-dam. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/20/ethiopia-electricity-production-gerd-blue-nile-mega-dam

Aljazeera. (2023). One year on, peace holds in Tigray, but Ethiopia still fractured. https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2023/11/2/photos-one-year-on-peace-holds-in-tigray-but-ethiopia-still-fractured

AllAfrica. (2025). Ethiopia: GERD Requires Additional 80 Billion Birr Despite 97.6 Percent Completion. https://allafrica.com/stories/202501150228.html

Anna, C. (2023). Egypt, Ethiopia hope to reach agreement within 4 months after long dispute over Africa’s largest dam. https://apnews.com/article/ethiopia-egypt-dam-dispute-nile-0f71472e426d9399c273d09aedc04e62

Anyango, A. (2024). Ethiopia to Develop 300 MW Wind Farm. https://pumps-africa.com/ethiopia-to-develop-300mw-wind-farm/#:~:text=Ethiopia is set to,United Arab Emirates (UAE).

AsokoInsight. (n.d.). Ethiopia’s Cement Market. https://www.asokoinsight.com/content/market-insights/ethiopia-cement-market

BioCarbon Fund. (2024). The BioCarbon Fund Initiative for Sustainable Forest Landscapes. https://www.biocarbonfund-isfl.org/sites/default/files/2024-10/World Bank_FY24-ISFL Report_WEB_R01.pdf

CIAT; BFS/USAID. (2017). Climate-Smart Agriculture in Ethiopia. CSA Country Profiles for Africa Series. https://cgspace.cgiar.org/items/91f82641-dce2-4c0f-8ada-df13dde887d9

Climate and Clean Air Coalition. (2016). Low-emission development for Ethiopia’s dairy sector. https://www.ccacoalition.org/projects/low-emission-development-ethiopias-dairy-sector

Directorate-General for International Partnerships. (2023). Global Gateway: European Union launches Cooperation priorities with Ethiopia for peacebuilding, reconstruction and green transition. https://international-partnerships.ec.europa.eu/news-and-events/news/global-gateway-european-union-launches-cooperation-priorities-ethiopia-peacebuilding-reconstruction-2023-10-03_en

EfD Initiative. (2018). Ethiopia´s strategy for green economy is on the right track- but lack of data is a problem for implementation. https://www.efdinitiative.org/news/ethiopias-strategy-green-economy-right-track-lack-data-problem-implementation

EfD Initiative. (2022). E-vehicles exempted from tax in Ethiopia – IGE fellow wrote proposal. https://www.efdinitiative.org/news/e-vehicles-exempted-tax-ethiopia-ige-fellow-wrote-proposal

EnergyNews. (2024). TOYO Co., Ltd Announces Plans for a 2 GW Solar Cell Manufacturing Facility in Ethiopia. https://energynews.pro/en/toyo-co-ltd-announces-plans-for-a-2-gw-solar-cell-manufacturing-facility-in-ethiopia/

EPA. (2019). Global Non-CO2 Greenhouse Gas Emission Projections & Mitigation Potential: 2015-2050. EPA. https://www.epa.gov/global-mitigation-non-co2-greenhouse-gases/global-non-co2-greenhouse-gas-emission-projections

Ethiopian Monitor. (2020). Ethiopia Unveils 10-Year Development Plan. https://ethiopianmonitor.com/2020/06/11/ethiopia-unveils-10-year-development-plan/#:~:text=ADDIS ABABA – The government of,meeting that discussed the document.

Ethiopian Monitor. (2024). GERD: Two More Turbines Start Commercial Operations. https://ethiopianmonitor.com/2024/08/25/gerd-two-more-turbines-start-commercial-operations/

FANABC. (2024). Ethiopia sets a rapid pace for electric mobility transition in Africa – report. https://www.fanabc.com/english/ethiopia-sets-a-rapid-pace-for-electric-mobility-transition-in-africa-report/#:~:text=The report recalled that Ethiopia%27s,manufacturing sectors for electric vehicles.

FANABC. (2025). EVs charging stations to be installed at every 50, 120km in Ethiopia – Authority. https://www.fanabc.com/english/evs-charging-stations-to-be-installed-at-every-50-120km-in-ethiopia-authority/

Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. (2020). National Transport Policy.

Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. (2021). Updated Nationally Determined Contribution.

Federal Demoratic Republic of Ethiopia. (2022). Third National Communication (NC3) of the Federal Demoratic Republic of Ethiopia. December, 1–349.

Green Earth. (2024). Ethiopia takes major step toward carbon finance with reforestation project. https://www.green.earth/news/ethiopia-takes-major-step-toward-carbon-finance-with-reforestation-project

Gütschow, J. and P. M. (2023). The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series (1750-2021) v2.4.2. Gütschow, J. and Pflüger, M. https://zenodo.org/records/7727475

Hochet-Bodin, N. (2024). Ethiopia, the first country in the world to ban the import of gasoline and diesel vehicles. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/le-monde-africa/article/2024/09/13/ethiopia-the-first-country-in-the-world-to-ban-the-import-of-gasoline-and-diesel-vehicles_6725856_124.html

IEA. (2022). Africa Energy Outlook 2022.

International Center for Tropical Agriculture United States Agency for International Development. (2017). Climate-Smart Agriculture in Ethiopia. https://cgspace.cgiar.org/items/91f82641-dce2-4c0f-8ada-df13dde887d9

International Energy Agency. (2022a). Climate Resilience and Green Economy Strategy (CRGE). https://www.iea.org/policies/5902-climate-resilience-and-green-economy-strategy-crge

International Energy Agency. (2022b). https://www.iea.org/countries/ethiopia/electricity. https://www.iea.org/countries/ethiopia

International Trade Administration. (2024). Ethiopia Automotive EV Market. https://www.trade.gov/market-intelligence/ethiopia-automotive-ev-market#:~:text=Ethiopia

IRENA. (2022). Renewable Energy Market Analysis Africa and Its Regions in Collaboration With. www.afdb.org

Irwin-Hunt, A. (2024). AMEA Power strengthens UAE-Africa ties with Ethiopian wind farm. https://www.fdiintelligence.com/content/news/amea-power-strengthens-uaeafrica-ties-with-ethiopian-wind-farm-84046

Mekonnen, Z. (2022). The Climate Change-Agriculture Nexus in Drylands of Ethiopia. Vegetation Dynamics, Changing Ecosystems and Human Responsibility. https://www.intechopen.com/chapters/82297

Ministry of Planning and Development. (2024). Ethiopia National Determined Contributions (NDC) Implementation Plan. https://ndcpartnershipplans.com/public/view/f4ad7943-e200-4f1c-8c9b-9f3e272c2334?_gl=1*yctd4q*_ga*MTE0MzkyNTU0Ni4xNzE3Nzg0Mzc0*_ga_75XVT9LFB8*MTcyMDAxODIwOC4yOC4xLjE3MjAwMTg1MTIuNDkuMC4w

Ministry of Transport. (2020). Transport Sector - Ten Year Perspective Plan. https://www.motl.gov.et/sites/default/files/resource/MoTL 10 years Plan - English.pdf

Ministry of Water Irrigation & Electricity. (2019). National Electrification Program 2.0. https://www.powermag.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/ethiopia-national-electrification-program.pdf

Mpofu, A. (2021). Construction of Koysha hydropower dam in Ethiopia 39% complete. Construction Review Online.

Padmanabhi, R., & Meattle, C. (2022). Landscape of Climate Finance in Ethiopia. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Landscape-of-Climate-Finance-in-Ethiopia.pdf

Planning and Development Commission. (2021). Ten Years Development Plan: A Pathway to Prosperity (2021-2030). https://europa.eu/capacity4dev/nexus_ethiopia/documents/ethiopia-ten-years-development-plan-2021-2030-planning-and-development-commission-federal

Preston, R. (2023). Kenya and Ethiopia agree to build 3000km Lamu - Addis Ababa SGR. Rail Journal. https://www.railjournal.com/infrastructure/kenya-and-ethiopia-agree-to-build-3000km-lamu-addis-ababa-sgr/

Reuters. (2023). Egypt says talks over Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam have failed -statement. https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/egypt-says-talks-over-grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam-have-failed-statement-2023-12-19/

Sew, M. (2024). Four years later, Tigray is unrecognizable. https://www.ethiopia-insight.com/2024/01/30/four-years-later-tigray-is-unrecognizable/

Strubenhoff, H. (2021). Can agriculture be Ethiopia’s growth engine? Brookings. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/can-agriculture-be-ethiopias-growth-engine/

Tesfaye, L., Alemayehu, S., Jalango, D., Karanja, S., Magambo, G. ., Ghosh, A., Vyas, S., Nowak, A., Wamicwe, P., Newman, Grosjean, G., Cosgrove, B.; Derenoncourt, E., Mufti, S., Hientz, L., Wondemagegnehu, S., Assefa, B., Addis, N., Yemane, M., & Jaquet, S. (2024). Climate-smart agriculture investment plan for Ethiopia. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/145352

Teshome, H. (2019). Clean Cooking Sector in Ethiopia. https://archive.uneca.org/sites/default/files/uploaded-documents/CCDA/CCDA8/clean_cooking_sector_in_ethiopia_-_hiwote_teshome.pdf

The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. (2021). Updated National Determined Contribution. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/NDC/2022-06/Ethiopia%27s updated NDC JULY 2021 Submission_.pdf

The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia. (2023). ETHIOPIA’S LONG-TERM LOW EMISSION AND CLIMATE RESILIENT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY (2020-2050). https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/ETHIOPIA_ LONG TERM LOW EMISSION AND CLIMATE RESILIENT DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY.pdf

UN News. (2022). Ethiopia: Peace agreement between Government and Tigray ‘a critical first step’: Guterres. https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/11/1130137

UNEP. (2023). African cities embrace walking and cycling as climate crisis deepens. https://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/story/african-cities-embrace-walking-and-cycling-climate-crisis-deepens

UNEPGRID. (n.d.). Forest. https://dicf.unepgrid.ch/ethiopia/forest

United Nations Security Council. (2021). Voicing Support for African Union’s Peace Efforts in Ethiopia, Security Council Speakers Urge Political Dialogue Between Parties to Prevent Disaster.

World Bank. (2020). Ethiopia’s Climate Resilient Green Economy (CRGE) Strategy (2011-2019) – Implementation Progress Assessment Report. https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/099431406152240521/pdf/P1711160560c540d50a1ae0261b2c6c4de3.pdf

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